Coffee House

Muslims and the Republican vote

30 October 2012

Will American Muslims swing the US Presidential election? It seems highly unlikely, if not improbable, but that’s the line being pushed by the Council on American-Islamic Relations, a not uncontroversial lobby group with ties to the Muslim Brotherhood.

A poll released by the group last week found that 68 per cent of American Muslims intend to vote for Obama. By contrast, only 7 per cent are committed to voting for Romney in next week’s election. That represents more than treble the number who voted for McCain in 2008 (when just 2.2 per cent of Muslims voted Republican) while the Democrat share of Muslim votes is down from just under 90 per cent in 2008.

The Washington Post suggests these figures should give the Republicans cause for celebration:

Muslim American support for President Obama shows signs of waning, which could be enough to affect the 2012 election in key swing states where a few thousand votes could have a big impact.


It is thought the decline in Muslim support for Obama could possibly tip the balance in key swing states such as Virginia, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Ohio.

Religion is a powerful dynamic in US electoral campaigns – far more so than in Europe – and Muslims have tended to back Republicans because of their shared social values. In 2000, for example, George Bush claimed 72 per cent of Muslim votes and was endorsed by four Muslim organisations although all this would change after 9/11.

The introduction of ‘anti-Shariah bills’ by Republicans, conservative rhetoric which cast Muslims as an insidious fifth column, and the unpopularity of the war in Iraq, prompted many American Muslims to prioritise confessional concerns at the ballot. In 2004 and 2008 they voted overwhelmingly in favour of Democratic candidates.

The CAIR poll suggests this might be changing. Much like their fellow citizens, American Muslims now rank the economy, jobs, education, and health care as their main concerns in this election. It is a world away from the traditional bugbears about U.S. foreign policy, suggesting the importance attached to confessional concerns is at its lowest point for Muslim voters since 9/11.

All this brings me back to my original question; will American Muslims tip the balance in favour of Romney? The 7 per cent who favour him might yet restore the Republicans to the White House – but because they are citizens, not Muslims.

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  • telekuka

    I wear a burka to hide my after-five shadow

  • Daniel Maris

    CAIR – “not uncontroversial”. That’s one way of putting it. Another is that they were established by the Muslim Brotherhood by the sort of people who have been plotting to bring down the “miserable house” of the infidels (as revealed in court cases). The clue is in the title: Council on American Islamic Relations. Not Council of Muslim Americans or even Islamic America. The title recognises that “America” is one idea of how to run a society and “Islam” is quite another and that they wish to act as intermediaries between the two.

  • better than belch

    So you think the muzzie vote is going to be the decider in the US?

    Are you really this stupid, or are you just trolling us?

  • Augustus

    When one sees that Muslims, wherever they are, revere Mohammad to the point of insanity, we need to also see that various Muslim groups don’t agree on succession, or burials, or rites of various kinds, or even the degree of how hard one must bang one’s head on the carpet, or the coverage of women, or the rights of women to work, or divorce etc.etc., any infidel bowing to Islam so as to keep them all happy will never work, because they have no happiness within them. Strife and tribal pecking orders are built into them.

  • Jupiter

    I thought every Muslim would be voting for Barry Hussain Obama.

    Only one week left to find his real birth certificate.

  • Harvard

    And 68% will vote for Obama because they feel they are Muslims first, with citizenship coming a poor tenth. Islam is a very conservative faith, what they’re doing getting into bed with liberal progressives is baffling – maybe their common dislike of the Jewish faith as a common denominator glues them together.

    • retundario

      They vote for liberal progressives because these progressives are committed to offering them greater enfranchisement and power, whereas Republicans (quite rightly and sensibly) support the ethnic/religious status quo in their own land. Western progressives hate their own countries so much that they are prepared to sell out to Muslims out of spite, sorry in the name of equality and diversity.

  • EJ

    Am I the only one who sees just how deeply troubling this situation is? The Muslim block vote is growing, gaining influence and increasing power throughout the West. We have the above in the US, we have Tower Hamlets in the UK. Just the tip of the iceberg – and coming soon to a city near you. When the demographic scales tip – which they will in the next few generations – we’ll get to see first hand just how moderate they really are.

    • HooksLaw

      The muslim population in the USA is about 2,8 million, less than 1%. I do not see this particular demographic having any political validity.

      • EJ

        See what you like mate – it’s coming. In the UK they’re the fastest growing demographic – as well as the most demanding. Where we are now, you’ll be in a couple of decades. Good luck.

        • telemachus

          Viz Bradford

          • telekuka


        • Madame Merle

          Absolutely right EJ

          I have the distinct impression that Europe, the UK in particular, are sleepwalking their way into the caliphate.

          Anyone who has been around long enough to see the extent to which this country has changed in the last 40 years should be seriously worried.

          The demographics are moving exponentially and it won’t take more than two generations to tip the balance.

          I just hope I won’t still be around to see it.

          • Kljuc

            It’s going to get real ugly.

  • Louise McCudden

    I would be interested to know whether “social/values” issues – abortion, gay rights, contraception, equal pay, drugs, pornography, etc – play much of a role, and if so, how much?

    • Frank Furter

      This is an interesting question. In the USA there are many links between Muslims and Mormons, and a great many of their beliefs and practices overlap. One should be careful not to go too far with similarities, but in the area of ‘values’ they are very close.

      • Curnonsky

        What “links”, pray tell?

  • HooksLaw

    You might think that the 68% promising to vote for Obama might be a bigger boost for Romney.

    • telemachus

      Not the way the Yanks minds work
      They are broad minded
      Not the UK EDL mentality

      • Ostrich (occasionally)

        “They are broad minded”

        You’ve been there, have you?

      • retundario

        Yes Americans – broadminded! That’s a good one.

        • telemachus

          Heard of Palin and Barnhardt?

      • Austin Barry

        Broad minded? That doesn’t quite jibe with my experience on both sides of the Mason-Dixon Line. Generally, American are the nicest, politest people you could meet, but their views on Islam are somewhat robust.

        • telemachus

          But in fact they respect folk who seek the Abrahamic God

          • telekuka

            Yeh, sure. That’s why they blow up Jews and Christians!

      • telekuka

        Hardly news that you do not like broads!

      • telekuka

        amazed they let you in. You card-carrying commie

      • telekuka

        like you know!

      • telekuka

        what do you know?

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